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Five rules for measuring portfolio performance

A new year offer a time to reflect on the past year, but evaluating investment performance can be complicated.  What questions should investors ask of their investment managers?

A systematic evaluation clears up the misperception that it doesn’t matter how they invest the money. Money might not be earning what it should, particularly for the risks involved. Investors could even blame the investment vehicle — “IRA’s never earn anything” — when it’s actually the investments in the IRA that are at fault and, consequently, investors aren’t saving enough for retirement.

An investment advisor is in the best position to provide performance data. But not every advisor has systems in place to provide accurate return data.  Calculating performance yourself can be difficult and finding an appropriate benchmark to gauge performance is crucial.
Investors should separate “growth money” from “safe money.” Having the two types of money invested in the same account makes it extremely difficult to find an appropriate benchmark. In this instance, having two accounts offers a more simple approach than combining two types of money into a single account.

Ask if your advisor can provide a “time-weighted” portfolio return calculation. By using a time-weighted return, fluctuations that have nothing to do with portfolio picks can be eliminated from the evaluation.

For example, if an investor decides to add money to his or her account at the market bottom, this additional money invested at the optimal moment will skew portfolio returns upward. Portfolio investments could be lagging the market, but the timing of the additional money might result in above-average returns.

By using a “time-weighted” measurement, which is the industry standard for periods longer than three months, distortions from contributions and withdrawals will be reduced or eliminated.

Ask for performance measurement over various time periods. Large institutional investors typically receive returns for the most recent three months, year-to-date, 12 months, three-year and five-year time periods.

Every manager — except Bernie Madoff — has good and bad quarters.  Hopefully, your advisor knows enough about the portfolio to be able to explain why portfolios underperformed for a quarter or even a year. Underperforming over longer time periods, however, should probably receive less sympathy.

Beware of backward-looking returns on a portfolio you didn’t own. During the portfolio review process and especially during a new proposal process, many managers will pick a group of funds or managers with outstanding five-year track records and show clients and prospects the record for that group of managers, even if clients didn’t own that collection of managers in the past. While brokers are free to use this method of showing performance, many fiduciaries believe this technique breaches legal and ethical standards.

Investing requires common sense disciplines, not secret formulas. Investors should ask their advisors how they achieved the returns they did. The professional term for this is “performance attribution.” If investors achieved outsized returns because their portfolio was leveraged with “margin” (borrowed money), this should raise a red flag for conservative investors. If advisors can’t or won’t explain how portfolio returns were achieved, it’s probably an indication they have no idea. If they try to bluff their way through the question or resort to touting proprietary techniques, that could raise another red flag for investors. Madoff refused to explain his black box to investors, and the smart ones refused to invest with him because of it.

By applying these five rules, investors will learn more about how their portfolios are invested and become better able to evaluate whether or not their advisors are adding value above and beyond the fees they charge. (You do know how much they’re getting paid. Right?)  With this knowledge, you can move into the new year confident of the strategies employed on your behalf and with a better understanding of the risks involved with helping you achieve your retirement goals.

About
Doug May, a Chartered Financial Analyst, serves as director of the mountain west region for Avant-Garde Advisors, an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission. Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Avant-Garde Advisors operates an office in Grand Junction at 744 Horizon Court, Suite 350. For more information, call 263-5126 or visit the Web site located at www.avantgardewm.com.
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Posted by on Jan 26 2011. Filed under Contributors. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

Post Your Thoughts Below

  • David Spaulding

    Doug, very interesting piece. Time-weighting has value only in measuring how the manager performed, as it removes the impact of cash flows; money-weighting has greater value in telling the investor how THEY did. I have blogged (e.g., http://investmentperformanceguy.blogspot.com/2010/11/different-way-to-measure-ror.html) and commented on this in our newsletter (e.g., http://www.spauldinggrp.com/images/stories/PDF/newsletters/jun10nl.pdf) many times. Yes, time-weighting has value, but it’s limited; money-weighting is a far superior measure and it’s what an investor should be seeing to see how THEY or THEIR PORTFOLIO performed.

  • Stephen Campisi, CFA

    Before getting involved with all this technical information, we should take a step back and get some answers to the really important questions? Like “why am I investing?” and “what are my financial goals” and “how will the financial adviser help me to meet those goals?” The first goal of the investment manager is to help the client to define those goals and then to put together an investment strategy that will provide a high likelihood of success. Of course, the manager can use actively managed funds to implement the plan, but if the plan is appropriate and correct, then the client should be able to achieve his financial goals even if he just shows up to the market by using index funds. You assume that the manager is only “adding value” by beating a benchmark. Problem is: the goal is not to beat a benchmark. Who cares if you beat the benchmark but you’re following a strategy that is doomed to failure? Actually, the most important question for those who are using the portfolio for living expenses is this question: “How much can I withdraw and still maintain the portfolio value I need for the future?” Turns out that it doesn’t matter how well your funds do compared to the benchmark if you spend more than you make – in time you will be broke. So, I suggest using the client’s true performance: their own financial goals. If you do, you will agree with David Spaulding’s advice that a money weighted return (or internal rate of return) is the right measure, because it reconciles what matters to the client: how much they started with, how much they put in or took out, and how much they ended up with. Since that’s what really matters, then that’s the right performance measure.

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