Happy holidays? Increased spending forecast for 2022

Tim Whitney

Since the 2022 holiday season is nearly upon us, I wanted to share an excerpt from a recent news release from the International Council of Shopping Centers about expectations for spending.

“Shoppers expect to increase their spending in the 2022 holiday season by 6.7 percent, driven by an increased focus on deals and promotions, an earlier start to the holiday season and inflation, according to ICSC’s annual Holiday Shopping Intentions Survey.  ICSC is also forecasting an increase of 9.9 percent on dining, bringing the total spending for the season to $1.56 trillion.  

“The vast majority (89 percent) of consumers said inflation would impact their holiday purchases. Those shoppers noted that they would buy brands on sale or promotion (42 percent), shop at retailers that generally sell lower-price goods (37 percent) or do more research online than usual to find better deals (32 percent) in response. Inflation was also the most common reason consumers cited for spending more this season, with 40 percent identifying it as a key driver, ahead of wanting to go above for friends and family (25 percent) and planning bigger celebrations (20 percent).

“‘Shoppers are continuing to spend despite inflation and economic headwinds. And while higher prices will drive some of the increase in holiday spending this year, overall retailers are poised for a successful holiday season,’ said Tom McGee, president and chief executive officer of the of ICSC. ‘Consumers are particularly interested in deals and promotions, and retailers should make the most of deal events and other milestones this holiday season.’

“The survey found that consumers are increasingly embracing all channels to meet their needs and get the gifts they want at competitive prices. Ninety-four percent of holiday shoppers will make both an in-store purchase and an online purchase with a retailer and 220 million people will take advantage of omnichannel shopping overall.

“Shipping and product availability are also significant for consumers: 57 percent of shoppers intend to buy from brick-and-mortar retailers to pick up items themselves and avoid shipping delays and fees, a 17-point increase from 2021. Similarly, 67 percent of shoppers think free shipping is important, and a majority are willing to wait longer for delivery (66 percent) or spend more money
(59 percent) to get free shipping. Despite these concerns, 69 percent noted they will be patient and understanding this year about online holiday orders taking longer to arrive.”

Now that we know the numbers, let’s start our holiday shopping by patronizing local businesses and restaurants early and often.